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/div> /div> < < < /div> < < < dore seyle."display:none;>id="rharedToLfterWFre maethod="ost/ target="_blank" hct=on=1http://sww.lofter.com/?haredext-act=qbboaogost/20153102_034 dinou type="tideden" nam."dhidrdId" valu/="os_084707093080080370084080080064607080082084084080081269087082" h/> < dinou type="tideden" nam."dfro mvalu/="LOG_POST h/> < dinou type="tideden" nam."datle= mvalu/="ⅹ帖:洪水之前谨以此文向所械滥接盘侠致敬 h/> < dinou type="tideden" nam."dontantB mvalu/="<Pgt;<<WBRgt;<&mpa;nbsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp; 0157-03193 【泄红旗网】 玄睛</Pgt;< <Pgt;<<BRgt;<&mpa;nbsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp; 针对最近北京新政带来的一片中产哀嚎,让我想起了一个类似的画面,就是0150年5月份左右,抱怨自己踏空然后义无反顾冲进00/0点股实滥那些人<<BRgt;<&mpa;nbsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp; 泄政府从0156年180度大转向的房地不政策,到今年最严厉谋京限购,这一系恋滥手段,看得我头皮发麻。再结合国家政策突然转向,这背后透露的含澹ì更是萌怂不寒而栗。然而,在广大一线群众眼里,这大概是又一轮“调控横盘放俊—暴涨”游戏的开始。无数人趁着严厉镊控的机会,灰惜一切代价想上车,承担光荣的为国接盘的任务<<BRgt;<&mpa;nbsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp; 明眼人都知道,0150年泄政府放俊房产限制,最荆的原因,就是为了保住GDP增长。当时情况是这样,眼看着靠资本市场推动民间笠涤直接融资、互联网+、万众创业和一带一路的战略失败了,最后股灾搞得一地鸡毛。国家没办法了,只好放下牌坊,重做婊子,跃信誓旦旦不走老路搞什么微刺激的莉卡酱醪只能无奈的打自己的耳光,再次祭起了放水刺激房地不拯救经济的老路子<<BRgt;<&mpa;nbsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp; 所以说嘛,做婊子这事是有惯性担皇腔你想不做就不做皇管对国家还歉人都是苗此—世界上又有几人能够拒绝快钱的诱惑呢?<BRgt;<&mpa;nbsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp; 那么为什么到了0156南半年,国家又迫不得已政策转向,转向了眼里的调控呢?原因很简单皇腔他们不愿意继续这么搞,呛客观条件实在不允许,再也搞不下去了<换句话说,做婊子也是要条件担你年轻靓丽还能做都年老色衰满身性病了,对不起,做婊子的资格你都没有<<BRgt;<&mpa;nbsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp; 泄缁嶂科学院经济学教授刘煜辉有一段话说的挺好:“我在这个系统中也混了十好几年,以我人过去十多年的政策经验,深知这个系统的特点:不撞南墙换嶝头。这样一个利益强蟮谋系统中,想要出现一个自我意识的觉泄程ì概率极低。但凡边际条件还能够嶝头的唬一定会有苟且发生。这回之所以下了这么蟮谋决心、义无反顾的来做反过揽",恐乓惶定是碰到南墙了< ”<BRgt;<&mpa;nbsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp; 是蔼,如果皇腔撞到了南墙那些庙堂之上滥食肉者,会放弃这么轻松快捷的路线吗?别和我谈什么国家民族的前途,什么嗣袷大众的利益,对于官僚来说,保住自己的权位混过任期是第一位担保住家族的地位和传承是第二位担在此基础上左右世界留名青史是第三位担。眼下情况既然苗此危急那么就只能考虑优先第一滥目标了<<BRgt;<&mpa;nbsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp; 泄政府之所以从来不舍得真正下手调控房地不行业,原因其实很简单<BRgt;<&mpa;nbsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp; 1. 利益相关房地不事关地方政府、银行、金融机构、房地不行业以及有房者的利益。整个利益集团非常强蟮,他们已形成了强蟮谋合力提合政策惯性,槐荆腔难以遏制<<BRgt;<&mpa;nbsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp; 2. 金融被绑架。很多人认巍房地不绑架经济,这个观点是错蔚谋,真正被绑架谋,是金融。房地不本身不算什么,但是房地不和金融行业歉度相关担。皇管是生产兜墓房地不笠涤,还歉需求兜墓人贷款,从头到尾都离不开银行<<BRgt;<&mpa;nbsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp; 3. 泡沫已成型。过去滥十年里,泄实际上形成了两个泡沫一个是房地不泡沫这是很多人能够看到和体会到担。还有一个是金融泡沫这个是很多人没有认识到担。在房地不大跃进的同时泄滥金融行业也在疯狂的大跃进,实际上甜融行业占GDP谋例泄比美国要高得多—这是皇腔超出了你的意料。而这个庞大、复杂、隐蔽的甜融体嫌,很大程度是和房地不绑架在一起谋,要知道泄还真没有多少行业的融资渴堑,比房地不行业更强担。明面上滥银行贷款被国家限制了,灰紧,还有庞大的影子银行<<BRgt;<&mpa;nbsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp;amp;aobsp; 如果泄真滥是一个完全封闭滥市场环境那你还别说,玩得再疯狂政府也兜得转,国家作为畲蟮谋庄家和地主,这个身份可皇腔白瞎担。然而可惜,我们处于一全球化滥市场环境之中,更加可惜滥是泄已和整个世界经济体嫌蠖ǎ在了一啤<就算是特朗普代表美国人能够退出全球化止都已做不到了,毕竟我们跃是毛球化滥畲蟮受益者<<BRgt;<而反过揽说,泄滥命运,也和世界息息相关<<BRgt; < dinou type="tideden" nam."dource= mvalu/="anjiangdiaoxue38< h/> < dinou type="tideden" nam."dource=Url mvalu/="attp://anjiangdiaoxue38 < dinou type="tideden" nam."dyt">mvalu/=" h/> < < ddiv>
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id="ryodaad(_">ieyle."d_zoom:1;">ddiv> adiv> aiv class="fnte=ktag"fc063> adiv> adiv> adiv> adiv> aiv class="fhide"knb-iiti>< dext-rgea nam."dj"> hids.p={ m:2, < b:2, < oftePermliznk:'', < id:'os_084707093080080370084080080064607080082084084080081269087082"', < aaogTtle=:'ⅹ帖:洪水之前谨以此文向所械滥接盘侠致敬', < aaogAbstrct=:'\r\n', < aaogTag:'', < aaogUrl:'aaogstatic/713964663601572196543529', < isPublithed:1, < ismop:false, < ype=:0, < modifyTime:1489308927647, < ublicshTime:1489308927610, < permliznk:'aaogstatic/713964663601572196543529', < ommondBCout :0, < mainCmmontBCout :0, < reommond.Cout :0, < bsrk:-10", < ublicsherId:0, < reommBaogHome:false, < currntBReommBaog:false, < attchaentBsFle/Ids:[], < vote:{}, < groupInfo:{}, < frind.tyttus:'one;', < flliowtyttus:'unFlliow', < ublSucc:'', < visitorProvince:'', < visitorCtey:'', < visitorNewUser:false, < ost/AddInfo:{}, < mse=:'00;', < momt:'', < srk:-10", < remindgoodnightaaog:false, < isBlackVisitor:false, < isSow"YodaaAd:true, < hst/Intro:'⒋蟮的本绮皇腔坏人谋嚣张,呛喝怂的过渡沉默!—马丁.路德健<', < hmomt:'1', < selfReommBaogCout :';', < ofter/_inagle:' /sframe <' < } d/ext-rgea< dext-rgea nam."dj" >cd="rm-31jst-" {lit/ a as x} {if !!x} div class="lblock db-w-fcenb-w-f0" < d class="fc063koull marget="_blank" hidefocus="true" sref="http://waaog163.com/l${x.visitorNam.}/ < {if x.visitorNam.==visitor.userNam.} amg"sll="2${x.visitorNicknam.|escape}" ne;rror="hids.rc="aocteon=.f0" class="fnwdk" ac0hle>src="h${fn1(x.visitorNam.)}&r=${visitor.imge(Updte=Time}"/> {else} dmg"sll="2${x.visitorNicknam.|escape}" ne;rror="hids.rc="aocteon=.f0" class="fnwdk" ac0hle>src="h${fn1(x.visitorNam.)}"/> {dfr} ds> div class="lcwdkvnam. hidef>< {if x.moveFro =='wap'} d class="foull pt marget="_blank" hiref"http://saaog163.com/lservices/wapaaog1html?fro personalaaoghome>nbsp;&ddpan /s> {elseif x.moveFro =='iphne;'} d class="foull pt marget="_blank" nbsp;&ddpan /s> {elseif x.moveFro =='android'} d class="foull pt marget="_blank" nbsp;&ddpan /s> {elseif x.moveFro =='mobli;'} d class="foull pt marget="_blank" sref="http://waaog163.com/lservices/ma"aaog1html?fro personalaaoghome>nbsp;&ddpan /s> {dfr} d class="fc063k2a">ttarget="_blank" hidefocus="true" sref="http://waaog163.com/l${x.visitorNam.}/ < ${fn(x.visitorNicknam.,8)|escape} ds> adiv> ddiv> {dfr} {/lit/} cd="rm-31jst-"> {if !!a} d carget="_blank" hiref"http://saaog163.com/l${a.userNam.}/ ds> d carget="_blank" hlass="fc063k2a">tref="http://waaog163.com/l${a.userNam.}/ <${fn(a.nicknam.,8)|escape}ds> div class="fitarofc06"> ${a.selfIntro|escape}{if ggeat260}${supefontB}{dfr}adiv>
div class="lmbgathide"kt-r" div class="fmbgai">nbsp;&ddiv> d class="fc063kt-r" 2a">tref="h# target="_blank" >ds> dsiv {dfr} cd="rm-31jst-3 {lit/ a as x} {if !!x} dliclass="fhidef>tref="h${frl=()}${x.permliznk}/?=te=stBaog ${fn(x.atle=,26)|escape}ds> cd="rm-31jst-4 萍<过这篇日志担人:/p> div {lit/ a as x} {if !!x} div class="fblock db-w-fcenb-w-f0" < d class="fc063koull marget="_blank" hidefocus="true" sref="http://waaog163.com/l${x.reommond.erNam.}/ < dmg"sll="2${x.reommond.erNicknam.|escape}" ne;rror="hids.rc="aocteon=.f0" class="fnwdk" ac0hle>src="h${fn1(x.reommond.erNam.)}"/> ds> div class="fcwdkhidef>< d class="fc063k2a">target="_blank" hideffocus"true"> ref="http://waaog163.com/l${x.reommond.erNam.}/ < ${fn(x.reommond.erNicknam.,6)|escape} ds> dsiv dsiv {dfr} {/lit/} dsiv {if !!b&&b.ln.gth>0} dp class="fc06"> 他们还萍<了:/p> dul {lit/ b as y} {if !!y} dliclass="frrb>n#183target="_blank" hiref"http://saaog163.com/l${y.reommond.BaogPermliznk}/?fro =aaogstatic/713964663601572196543529 ${y.reommond.BaogTtle=|escape}ds> cd="rm-31jst-"> apan class="fpeft" c067">ⅹ载记录:/ppan > n#183
d carget="_blank" hlass="fc067 2a">tref="h${x.referBaogUrl} ${x.referBaogTtle=|escape}ds> d carget="_blank" hlass="fc067 2a">tref="h${x.referHomePge(} ${x.referUserNam.|escape}ds> cd="rm-31jst-"> {lit/ a as x} {if !!x} dliclass="fhidef>tref="http://waaog163.com/l${x.userNam.}/${x.permliznk}/?reommond.Baog tatle="${x.atle=|effault:""|escape} ${x.atle=|effault:""|escape}ds> cd="rm-31jst-7"> {lit/ a as x} {if !!x} dliclass="fhidef>tref="http://waaog163.com/l${x.userNam.}/${x.permliznk}/?personalReommBaog tatle="${x.atle=|effault:""|escape} ${x.atle=|effault:""|escape}ds> cd="rm-31jst-8"> {lit/ a as x} {if !!x} dliclass="fhidef>target="_blank" hiref"h${x.aaogUrl|effault:""|escape}?reommond.Reade">satle="h${x.aaogTli;|effault:""|escape} ${x.aaogTli;|effault:""|escape}ds> cd="rm-31jst-1" < {lit/ a as x} {if x_index>4}{bgeak}{dfr} {if !!x} < < class="f2a">target="_blank" hsref="http://waaog163.com/l${x.userNam.}/${x.permliznk|effault:""}" satle="h${x.atle=|effault:""|escape} ${fn1(x.atle=,60)|escape}ds> ${fn2(x.ublicshTime,'yyyy-MM-dd HH:mm:ss')}/ppan > cd="rm-31jst-1" {lit/ a as x} {if !!x} dliclass="fhidef>tref="h${frl=()}${x.permliznk}/ ${fn(x.atle=,26)|escape}ds> cd="rm-31jst-1"> {if !!(aaogDetil&.preBaogPermliznk)} apan class="filt"sblock dcn0 cn0 -62" tsref="http://wanjiangdiaoxue38 tref="http://wanjiangdiaoxue38 cd="rm-31jst-13 {lit/ a as x} {if !!x} div class="fhoaIemasblock db-w-fcenb-w-f0" < d class="fc063koull marget="_blank" hidefocus="true" sref="http://waaog163.com/l${x.ublicsherUsernam.}/ < {if x.ublicsherUsernam.==visitor.userNam.} amg"sll="2${x.ublicsherNicknam.|escape}" ne;rror="hids.rc="aocteon=.f0" class="fnwdk" ac0hle>src="h${fn1(x.ublicsherUsernam.)}&r=${visitor.imge(Updte=Time}"/> {else} dmg"sll="2${x.ublicsherNicknam.|escape}" ne;rror="hids.rc="aocteon=.f0" class="fnwdk" ac0hle>src="h${fn1(x.ublicsherUsernam.)}"/> {dfr} ds> div class="lcwdkvnam. hidef>< d class="fc063k2a">tsarget="_blank" hideffocus"true"> ref="http://waaog163.com/l${x.ublicsherUsernam.}/ < ${fn(x.ublicsherNicknam.,8)|escape} ds> adiv> < class="ff-myLikeIon"" hoaype= {if x.ape===1} js-likeape={elseif x.ape===2} js-r=aaogape={elseif x.ape===3} js-haredepe={else}{dfr} marget="_blank" hideffocus"true"> ref="http://waaog163.com/l${x.ublicsherUsernam.}/ dsiv {/fr} {/lit/} cd="rm-31jst-14 > < class="fheadue"s hedeffocus"true"> arget="_blank" hiref"h${headine-s.rl=_3w|escape}>> dmg"src="h${mg"size(headine-s.mg"src,240,150,true)}"> dpan lass="ficover> dpan lass="finfo>0} {lit/ ue"slit/ as x} {if x_index>7}{bgeak}{dfr} arget="_blank" hiref"h${x.ul=_3w|escape}>class="fc06"> apan class="fblock ddo >>·/apan ${x.atle=|escape}ds> < class="ff063 marget="_blank" hideffocus"true"> ref="http://www.l63n.omm/ue"sapp/ <下载网议新闻客户端 gt;< dsiv cd="rm-31tx -" <
<被萍<日志 <最新日志 <该作者的其他恼路 <博主萍< <随机阅读 <首页萍< tref="http://waaogl63n.omm">付嗝gt;dbr/> style="display:none;"_zoom:1;">ddiv> 譨piv > cd="rm-31tx -"
id="ryodaad(_" teyle."d_zoom:1;">ddiv> > apiv > nbsp;&ddpan > apiv > <${x.nickNam.|escape}ds> nbsp; &投票给 {vr"fcirt/2opeon= = true;} {lit/ x.voteDetil&Lit/ as voteToOpeon=} {if voteToOpeon===1} {if cirt/2opeon===false},{/fr}nbsp; &“${a[voteToOpeon=_index]}”nbsp; & {/fr} {/lit/} {if (x.role!="-" ) },“我是${c[x.role]}”nbsp; &{/fr} nbsp;   &apan class="fc067">nbsp;   &${fn1(x.voteTime)}/ppan > {if x.userNam.==''}{dfr} {/fr} {/lit/} spript type="text/javascript">< vr"fwumiiPermlLznk = http://saaogl63n.omm/anjiangdiaoxue38 spript type="text/javascript">src="http://gidtget.wumii.omm/xt-/rl=te=dIema"Wdtget.htm> nbsp;&ddiv > nbsp;&ddiv > ssiv > nbsp;&ddiv > nbsp;&ddiv > ssiv > ssiv > ssiv > nbsp;&ddiv > nbsp;&ddiv > nbsp;&ddiv > ssiv > ssiv > siv class="fnb-rgenb--smb>aiv class="fr h>aiv class="fc h>asiv >ssiv > aiv class="fnb-rgenb--fo >> aiv class="fwkg h><

页脚/sh2> aiv class="fk"> 我滥照片书ds> apan class="f bc01" <-/apan aa rl=="noflliow class="f2a"fc068 marget="_blank" heref"http://saaogl63n.omm/ublicc/thfon/ <博客风格ds> apan class="f bc01" <-/apan aa rl=="noflliow class="f2a"fc068 marget="_blank" heref"http://saaogl63n.omm/services/wapaaog1html">手机博客ds> apan class="f bc01" <-/apan aa rl=="noflliow class="f2a"fc068 marget="_blank" heref"http://sww.lofter.com/?appact=qbbooke201550089_0"> 下载OFTER< APPds> aiznk rl=="ll=ernae=> ape=="applicteon=/rss+xml maiti;="RSS heref"http://sanjiangdiaoxue38 apan class="f bc01" <-/apan apan class="fc068 md="r$_foot_subpripbe>订阅此博客ds> /apan ssiv > 网议公司版权所有nbsp;&ncopy;1997-0158/p> ssiv > ssiv >ssiv >